1) Prohibit building on exposed properties. That will make the Tea Party people go crazy.
2) Allow people to build where ever they wish and suffer the consequences. No government interference whatsoever. Tea Party people love this. Insurance companies will go broke.
3) Allow people to build where ever they wish and the government takes up the losses. Nobody loves this one.
This is a real problem and somebody has to make a decision.
Engineers’ Warnings in 2009 Detailed Storm Surge Threat to the Region
Stan Honda/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
By JAMES GLANZ and MIREYA NAVARRO
Published: November 4, 2012
The warnings were voiced at a seminar in New York City convened by the American Society of Civil Engineers,
whose findings are so respected that they are often written into
building codes around the world. Corporate, academic and government
engineers at the meeting presented computer simulations of the storm-surge threat and detailed engineering designs of measures to counter it.
Officials from the city’s Office of Emergency Management and the United
States Army Corps of Engineers took part in the seminar, serving on
review panels or giving talks.
Participants in the 2009 seminar called on officials to seriously
consider whether to install surge barriers or tide gates in New York
Harbor to protect the city. Their views are contained in 300 pages of
technical papers, historical studies and engineering designs from the
seminar, copies of which the society provided to The New York Times.
Any effort to install such barriers would be extremely costly and take many years to carry out.
Even if the government had embraced such a proposal in 2009, it would
not have been in place to prevent destruction from Tropical Storm Irene
last year or Hurricane Sandy last week.
Some scientists
have championed such barriers for years. But as the region struggles
with the devastation after the storm, some of the engineers involved in
the 2009 seminar see parallels to alarms that went unheeded before Hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans in 2005.
“Scientists and engineers were saying years before Katrina happened,
‘Hey, it’s going to happen, folks. Stop putting your head in the
sand,’ ” said Malcolm Bowman, a professor of oceanography at the State
University at Stony Brook who spoke at the conference and is an editor
of the proceedings.
“The same thing’s now happened here,” Professor Bowman said.
He said the most workable plan would involve a roughly five-mile barrier
from Sandy Hook, N.J., to the Rockaway Peninsula. A smaller barrier
would stretch across the top of the East River to protect against surges
from Long Island Sound.
East River barriers might rise from the ocean floor using hydraulics as a
threat approached, and the larger barrier would require locks and
sluiceways to allow ships and water to pass during ordinary times.
Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg has expressed doubt about such barriers and
whether the benefits would outweigh the costs — well over $10 billion,
by most estimates.
“I don’t think there’s any practical way to build barriers in the
oceans,” he said on Thursday. “Even if you spent a fortune, it’s not
clear to me that you would get much value for it.”
Asked about the society’s findings in 2009, Lauren Passalacqua, a
spokeswoman for the mayor, said on Sunday that the city was looking into
a number of measures to protect against storms, including barriers.
Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo has said in recent days that barriers were worth seriously examining.
Experts who were at the 2009 conference said that while the technology
comes with many questions, it has already been deployed around the
world, including in the Netherlands and on the Thames in London. Several
American cities have versions of the structures, and a barrier
surrounds St. Petersburg, Russia.
Jeroen Aerts, a researcher from the University of Amsterdam who was
retained by the city in 2009 to assess flood risks and protections, said
he was asked by officials to look into barriers after Tropical Storm
Irene.
Dr. Aerts said that he was still working on the research, but that the
city should consider such a proposal. “Obviously, there’s a sense of
urgency now,” he said.
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